Atlanta Braves' Chances for 2010 are Impossible to Predict

On paper, Atlanta's 2009 season didn't seem that bad.Joe Thurston, catcher Orlando Mercado, and veteran
They had 6 players batting over .300, and a teamfirst baseman Troy Glaus round out the off season
batting average of .263. The team ERA was amoves to date.
respectable 3.57. Yet somehow, Atlanta managed toEven with all of the changes, it is questionable how
win just 86 games, losing 76, finishing third in theirmuch the moves actually improved the team. The
division and seven games back of the PhiladelphiaBraves were a young team with one of the
Phillies.best-potentially-starting rotations in the league. Many of
A closer look at some of the player stats, however,the trades seem to have been an even swap, with no
may shed some light on the problem. The bullpengreat advantage gained.
struggled, posting such horrific numbers as BlaineThe starting rotation will likely be Kenshin Kawakami,
Boyer's 40.50 ERA, acquired in only 1.10 innings ofTim Hudson, Tommy Hanson, Derek Lowe, with,
work. It is very difficult to win a game when yournaturally, Jair Jurrjens in the number one slot. Takashi
pitcher walks 3 and gives up 6 runs during such a briefSaito will probably take over as closer, with Billy
time. Vladimir Nunez also had problems with the 1.00Wagner, Eric O'Flaherty, and Peter Moylan being the
inning he threw, allowing 2 walks, 4 runs, and 2 homeprimary bullpen personnel.
runs to net him a 36.00 ERA.Despite their stats, Atlanta just could not seem to find
They got some good numbers from some of theira way to win. Nor do injuries play much of a part in the
starters, such as Jair Jurrjens, who had a 2.60 ERArecord; with the exception of Chipper Jones, who was
and 215 innings of work, and Javier Vazquez, whoout several times for various injuries, and Jordan
turned in 219.1 innings and ended the season with aSchafer, who went out in September for surgery on
2.87 ERA. Nevertheless, Vazquez was traded to thehis right wrist, most of the team stayed pretty healthy
Yankees for outfielder Melky Cabrera in a complexthroughout 2009. It remains to be seen just how well
5-player deal. In addition, the Braves have made athey can respond to the challenge of ending
number of moves intended to help the team breakPhiladelphia's winning streak.
Philadelphia's 3-year run. Gone are pitchers MikeThis is probably going to manager Bobby Cox's last
Gonzalez, Rafael Soriano, and Boone Logan. Garretyear before retirement, so there may be some
Anderson, Ryan Church, Kelly Johnson, Adamadditional impetus for the players' to see that he
LaRoche, and Greg Norton have all been traded.leaves with a division championship. He had the
The Braves have acquired pitchers Billy Wagner,personnel in 2009, most of whom are still with the
Takashi Saito, Juan Abreu, Jesse Chavez, Scottteam despite some risky trades by the front office.
Proctor, Michael Dunn, and Arodys Vizcaino. RightHow things will play out, however, remains anyone's
fielders Brent Clevlen and Mitch Jones, third basemanguess.